When will Tiger Woods next start in a PGA Tour event?
Started
Feb 24, 2016 07:29PM UTC
Closed Jun 16, 2016 05:00AM UTC
Closed Jun 16, 2016 05:00AM UTC
Challenges
Yay Tiger is back swinging! https://twitter.com/TigerWoods/status/702492113188032512
Which begs the question, posed by Secret Tour Pro https://twitter.com/secrettourpro/status/702548465813987329
Figured this needs to be asked in a prediction market fashion.
The cutoffs for the stocks here are based on his "usual" schedule. Tiger plays in the same tournaments pretty much every year, so if he's going to come back and play, it would be at these specific events.
Resolution Notes
He has officially withdrawn from the Masters.
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Before or at the Arnold Palmer Invitational | 0% | |
| After API up to and including Masters | 0% | |
| After Masters up to and including the Players Championship | 0% | |
| After the Players up to and including the US Open | 30% | |
| Not before the US Open | 70% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 5 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 3 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 24 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 10 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| There are not enough forecasters in this question to generate an accuracy profile. |
