Who will be the number one ranked golfer in the world on June 21, 2016

Started Nov 20, 2015 09:34PM UTC
Closed Jun 21, 2016 05:00AM UTC
Challenges

Projecting the #1 ranked player in the world after the second major of the year. Seems like a good halfway point to forecast.
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Jordan Spieth 57%
Jason Day 41%
Rory McIlroy 1%
Other 1%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 15
Average for questions older than 6 months: 3
Number of Forecasts 66
Average for questions older than 6 months: 10
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters worse than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.185
2.
-0.184
3.
-0.176
4.
-0.113
5.
-0.046

Consensus Trend

Files
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